WiP: The Effects of the Russo-Ukrainian War on the Politics of the South Caucasus

CRRC, ARISC and American Councils are pleased to announce the 16th talk of the Spring/Summer 2023 Tbilisi Works-in-Progress series!

The talk will take place in hybrid format in-person at CRRC Georgia and online through Zoom: https://us06web.zoom.us/…/tZYvdOqtrjgjHdAjIUp8rE5Xe5Hc7…

“The Effects of the Russo-Ukrainian War on the Politics of the South Caucasus”

Josiah Marineau, UNC Pembroke

Date: 12 July 2023, at 18:30

The Russo-Ukrainian war is a defining event in contemporary international relations. While the full global impact of the war will not be known until well after the conflict is over, this project examines the ongoing effects of the war on a key region of geopolitical competition, the South Caucasus. It utilizes a levels of analysis approach to examine the war’s effects at the international, intraregional, and domestic levels, and argues that Russian decline in the region has resulted in a strategic vacuum that no alternative actor is in a position to fulfill. European goals of diversifying energy sources from Russia has given Azerbaijan an ascendant role in the region, while Armenia is in decline in the region due to the lack of a reliable security guarantor. It analyzes the particular impact that Russian migration to the region is having on domestic politics, with an emphasis on Georgia and Armenia. Russian migrants are arriving at a tense moment in Georgian politics, with a pro-Russian government that does not always look at them favorably and a Georgian public that is lukewarm at best and hostile at the worst to their presence.

Dr. Josiah Marineau is an Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of North Carolina at Pembroke. He specializes in Comparative Politics and International Relations with a focus on the South Caucasus as well as central and Eastern Africa. In addition to ongoing fieldwork in Georgia, he has conducted fieldwork in Uganda, Malawi, Burundi, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and Tanzania. He has published in Studies in Comparative International Development, Conflict Management and Peace Science, and the Journal of Political Science Education, among others.

Works-in-Progress is an ongoing academic discussion series based in Tbilisi, Georgia, that takes place office of CRRC at Liziko Kavtaradze St. 1 and online. It is co-organized by the Caucasus Research Resource Centers (CRRC), the American Councils for International Education: ACTR/ACCELS, and the American Research Institute of the South Caucasus (ARISC). All of the talks are free and open to the public.

In observation of the spirit of the Chatham House Rule, the talks will not be recorded, and we courteously request that the other participants refrain from recording and/or distributing recordings as well. The opinions expressed in WiP talks are those of the speakers alone, and do not necessarily reflect the views of CRRC, ARISC or of American Councils.